Ngaba imithwalo yolwandle iyancipha okanye iyancipha?

Lo mfanekiso ungentla ubonisa uthelekiso phakathi kwamazinga aphezulu empahla ethunyelwa kwiindlela ezahlukeneyo ezinkulu kwiintsuku ezingama-90 ezidlulileyo kunye namazinga empahla ngoJanuwari 2023, apho amazinga empahla evela eMpuma Asia ukuya eNtshona naseMpuma ye-United States omabini ehla ngaphezulu kwama-50%.

 

Kutheni isalathisi sempahla yolwandle sibalulekile?

Yintoni ingxaki ngokuhla okukhulu kwamaxabiso okuthutha impahla elwandle?

Zithini izinto ezibangela ugqozi oluvela kutshintsho olukwi-index yorhwebo lwangaphandle lwendabuko kunye norhwebo lwe-intanethi oluwela imida kwiindidi zethu zemidlalo nokomelela komzimba?

 

01

Uninzi lorhwebo lwehlabathi lufezekiswa ngokuthunyelwa kwempahla ngolwandle ukuze kuhanjiswe ixabiso, kwaye amazinga okunyuka kwempahla kwiminyaka embalwa edlulileyo abangele umonakalo omkhulu kuqoqosho lwehlabathi.

Ngokwesifundo seminyaka engama-30 esenziwe yi-International Monetary Fund (IMF) esigubungela amazwe kunye nemimandla eli-143, impembelelo yokunyuka kwamazinga okuthutha impahla elwandle kwixabiso lehlabathi ikhulu kakhulu. Xa amazinga okuthutha impahla elwandle ephindwe kabini, izinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso liya kwanda ngama-0.7 eepesenti.

Phakathi kwazo, amazwe kunye nemimandla exhomekeke kakhulu ekuthengeni impahla kwamanye amazwe kwaye enomgangatho ophezulu wokudibanisa uthungelwano lweenkonzo zehlabathi iya kuba nemvakalelo enamandla yokunyuka kwamaxabiso okubangelwa kukunyuka kwamaxabiso okuthutha impahla elwandle.

 

02

Ukwehla okukhulu kwamanani okuthutha impahla elwandle kubonisa ubuncinane iingxaki ezimbini.

Okokuqala, imfuno yemarike inciphile.

Kwiminyaka emithathu edlulileyo, ngenxa yomonakalo obangelwe yibhubhane kunye nomahluko kumanyathelo okulawula, ezinye iimpahla (ezifana nokuqina komzimba ekhaya, umsebenzi weofisi, imidlalo, njl.njl.) zibonakalise imeko yokuthengiswa okugqithisileyo. Ukuze bahlangabezane neemfuno zabathengi kwaye bangadlulwa ngabakhuphisana nabo, abathengisi bakhawuleza ukuthenga izinto zabo kwangaphambili. Esi sesona sizathu siphambili sokunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye neendleko zokuthumela, ngelixa besebenzisa kakhulu imfuno ekhoyo yemarike kwangaphambili. Okwangoku, kusekho uluhlu lwezinto ezithengiswayo kwimarike kwaye lukwixesha lokugqibela lokukhululwa.

Okwesibini, ixabiso (okanye ixabiso) aliseyona nto ibalulekileyo egqiba ubungakanani bentengiso.

Ngokwethiyori, iindleko zothutho zabathengi baphesheya okanye abathengisi be-e-commerce abawela imida ziyehla, nto leyo ebonakala ilungile, kodwa eneneni, ngenxa “yokungabikho kwe-monk eninzi kunye ne-Congee eninzi”, kunye nesimo sengqondo esibi sabathengi malunga nolindelo lwengeniso, ukuthengiswa kweempahla kunye neempahla kunciphile kakhulu, kwaye izinto ezingenakuhlawuleka zenzeka ngamanye amaxesha.

 

03

Iindleko zokuthumela azinyuki kwaye azinciphi. Yintoni enye esinokuyenza ukuthumela iimveliso zokomelela kwamanye amazwe?

Ekuqaleni,iimveliso zemidlalo nezomzimbaasizizo nje iimveliso ezifunekayo, kodwa asizizo neshishini eliphelelwa lixesha. Ubunzima bungobexeshana nje. Lo gama nje siqhubeka nokuphuhlisa iimveliso ezihlangabezana neemfuno zabathengi, kwaye sisebenzisa iindlela ezifanelekileyo zokukhuthaza nokuthengisa, ukubuyiselwa kwemveliso kuya kwenzeka kungekudala okanye kamva.

Okwesibini, amaqhinga ophuhliso lwemveliso ahlukeneyo kunye neendlela zokuthengisa kufuneka zamkelwe kubavelisi, abathengisi beempawu, abathengisi be-e-commerce, kunye neenkampani zorhwebo, besebenzisa ngokupheleleyo imodeli entsha "ye-intanethi + ngaphandle kwe-intanethi" ekucwangcisweni nasekusetyenzisweni.

Okwesithathu, ngokuvulwa kwemida yelizwe, kubonakala ngathi kungekudala, indawo yezihlwele kwimiboniso edlulileyo ngokuqinisekileyo iya kuphinda ivele. Iinkampani kunye nemibutho yemiboniso yemizi-mveliso kufuneka zinike inkxaso engakumbi yokufikelela ngokuchanekileyo phakathi kwamashishini kunye nabathengi.